The number of customers affected is unimportant, what matters is the
amount of traffic affected. I don't know about anyone else, but I think if
I had just been "de-peered" the provider in question would be the LAST on
my list to purchase transit from. In all likelihood the traffic is just
going to go to another CW peer and to an FNSI transit. But to determine
the true loser, you must know if this peer served a useful technical
function. If this was a low-quality peer (congested, through a lossy atm
nap, etc) or relieved no congestion elsewhere, the loser is FNSI. If on
the other hand this peer was providing a better path, the traffic will be
affected. Since billing is based on traffic, the loser is whoever can no
longer bill their customers for something they got for free.
Also, not that I care much about either FNSI or Clueless & Witless
peering, but the argument that noone would be affected AND traffic would
be reduced makes no sense. If there is a significant reduction in
congestion then there must have been a significant amount of traffic
flowing through the peer. As far as I'm concerned, the biggest argument
for peering with FNSI is Pimp War (http://www.pimpwar.com).