Hi, John:
0) Thanks for sharing your thoughts. The IoT identification (IP address) versus privacy is a rather convoluted topic. It can quickly get distracted and diluted if we look at it by piecemeal. Allow me to go through an overview to convey my logic.
1) It is true that a dynamic IoT identification is harder to track down than a static one, thus providing some sense of privacy or security, theoretically. This went well with the need for dynamic practice due to the limited IPv4 address pool. So, this idea sank deep into most people's mind as inherent for the Internet.
2) It turned out that there were many ways (as you eluded to) to track down an IoT even with a dynamic address. There was a classical research paper that outlined various techniques to do so:
To save your time, I extracted part of its conclusions as below:
"6 Concluding Remarks ... while some commercial organizations have claimed that they can do it with 99% accuracy. … It’s meant for the 99 percent of the general public who are just at home surfing. … We note that even if accurate IP geolocation is possible for 99% of IP addresses, if the remaining 1% is fixed and predictable by an adversary, and such that the adversary can place themselves within this subspace, then they can evade geolocation 100% of the time. …"
We do not need to check its validity quantitatively, today, because technology has advanced a lot. However, it is probably still pretty accurate qualitatively, judging by how successful "targeted marketing" is, while how hard various perpetrators may be identified, not to mention physically locating one.
3) As long as the general public embrace the Internet technologists' promise of privacy by dynamic addressing, however, the LE (Law Enforcement) agencies have the excuse for exercising mass surveillance that scoops up everything possible from the Internet for offline analysis. Big businesses have been doing the same under the same cover. So, most people end up without privacy anyway. (Remember the news that German Chancellor's phone call was somehow picked up by the NSA of US? For anyone with a little imagination, it was a clear hint for the tip of an iceberg.).
4) Static communication terminal (IoT) identification practice will remove a significant number of entities (the 99%) from LE's monitor operation, enabling them to focus on the 1% as well as requiring them to submit justification for court order before doing so. The last part has disappeared under the Internet environment. See URL below for an example. The static IP address practice will simplify the whole game. That is, the LEs can do their job easier, while the general public will get the legally protected privacy back.
Federal court upholds terrorism conviction in mass surveillance case
Regards,
Abe (2022-07-27 23:28 EDT)