In a message written on Mon, Oct 12, 2009 at 05:09:41PM -0700, Owen DeLong wrote:
With IPv6, it probably won't be the ideal 1:1 ratio, but, it will come
much closer. Even if the average drops to 1/2, you're
talking about a 70,000 route table today, and, likely growth in the
250-300,000 route range over the next 5-10 years.
CAM will probably scale faster than that.
Here's a presentation from 2007.
http://www.vaf.net/~vaf/apricot-plenary.pdf
On page 13, you'll find a table. It starts with numbers in November
of 2006, and makes projections. The 5 year projections (Nov 2011)
have already been exceeded, in both IPv4 Internet Routes and Active
ASN's.
The problem isn't that we have 300,000 "global routes" on the
Internet (CIDR Report), but
that there are other things that compete for TCAM space. It's that TCAM
must hold not only the global routes, but also:
- Internal routes. Your IGP routes, no-exported customer
deagregations, blackhole routes, etc.
- MPLS Labels, including:
- MPLS Traffic Engineering
- MPLS VPN Identifiers
- Virtual Routing Instances for Layer 3 VPN's.
- ARP Entries
- Multicast Routes
Unfortunately details are hard to come by as most of the folks who
see this in any significant way (e.g. global "tier 1" full service
ISP's) tend not to release too many specific numbers for competitive
reasons.
That said, even using some basic assumptions (some of which are in
the preso) those 300,000 global routes might have added to them:
300,000 global routes
150,000 internal routes
20,000 MPLS labels
200,000 VPN/VRF Routes
5,000 ARP Entries
20,000 Multicast Routes